NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate NEC Nijmegen (2,053) and Feyenoord (2,113).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Feyenoord have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 NEC Nijmegen win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Feyenoord win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Feyenoord 2-4 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Feyenoord 0-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Feyenoord 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Feyenoord score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Feyenoord | 2.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 10th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Feyenoord sit 8th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
- The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.