Aduana Stars vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aduana Stars vs Medeama?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Aduana Stars (1,574) and Medeama (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aduana Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aduana Stars win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Medeama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Medeama 1-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Medeama | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Medeama 2-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Aduana Stars 2-2 Medeama | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Medeama 2-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Aduana Stars 2-0 Medeama | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Aduana Stars on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aduana Stars sit 6th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aduana Stars vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Aduana Stars vs Medeama played?
- Aduana Stars vs Medeama is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Agyeman Badu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 13, 2027Heart of LionsvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Mar 13, 2027SamartexvsBerekum Chelsea
- Mar 13, 2027Debibi UnitedvsBechem United
- Mar 13, 2027Swedru All BlacksvsYoung Apostles
- Mar 13, 2027Basake Holy StarsvsHearts of Oak
- Mar 13, 2027VisionvsDreams
- Mar 13, 2027Port CityvsKarela