Port City vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Port City the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port City vs Karela?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Port City (1,547) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Tobacco Road(away) | 3-2 | USL League Two |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Wake(away) | 1-3 | USL League Two |
| Jul 1, 2026 | North Carolina Fusion(home) | 1-2 | USL League Two |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Appalachian(home) | 0-3 | USL League Two |
| Jun 23, 2026 | SC United Bantams(home) | 1-2 | USL League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Port City score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port City | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port City vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Port City the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Karela.
- Where and when is Port City vs Karela played?
- Port City vs Karela is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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