Basake Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase
The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 39%, against 36% for a draw and 25% for Hearts of Oak. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basake Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak?
Hearts of Oak starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,637 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basake Holy Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hearts of Oak have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Basake Holy Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hearts of Oak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Basake Holy Stars 1-2 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Basake Holy Stars 0-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 0-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basake Holy Stars sit 12th in Premier League (46 points from 34 matches) and Hearts of Oak sit 3rd (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basake Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak?
- The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 39%, against 36% for a draw and 25% for Hearts of Oak.
- Where and when is Basake Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak played?
- Basake Holy Stars vs Hearts of Oak is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.