AEL vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1. If Omonia Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (2,048 vs 1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEL vs Omonia Nicosia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEL
4-2-3-1- 9S. Jovetić
- 10R. Oudin
- 6D. Zdravkovski
- 20João Tavares
- 11L. Singh
- 77F. Mughe
- 23Diogo Gomes
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 33E. Antoniou
- 22K. Neofytou
- 1S. Kapino
Omonia Nicosia
3-4-3- 99L. Diony
- 8D. Akintola
- 9A. Kakoullis
- 11Ewandro
- 74P. Andreou
- 14M. Marić
- 22M. Tankovic
- 93J. Duverne
- 37Ľ. Šatka
- 5S. Coulibaly
- 40Fabiano
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Omonia Nicosia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Nov 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AEL(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEL win, 0 draws, 5 Omonia Nicosia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 2-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 1-2 AEL | Cup |
| Jan 9, 2026 | AEL 0-2 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 5-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 3-0 AEL | Cup |
| Jan 12, 2025 | AEL 0-4 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Nicosia vs AEL on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Nicosia score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEL sit 3rd in 1. Division (18 points from 9 matches) and Omonia Nicosia sit 2nd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 18 |
A question about AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AEL.
- Where and when is AEL vs Omonia Nicosia played?
- AEL vs Omonia Nicosia is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.