AEL vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for AEL. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 296-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Omonia Nicosia have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEL win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Omonia Nicosia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 1-2 AEL | Cup |
| Jan 9, 2026 | AEL 0-2 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 5-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 3-0 AEL | Cup |
| Jan 12, 2025 | AEL 0-4 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Omonia Nicosia 3-1 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEL sit 8th in 1. Division (44 points from 33 matches) and Omonia Nicosia sit 1st (87 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 24 | 87 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEL vs Omonia Nicosia?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for AEL.
- Where and when is AEL vs Omonia Nicosia played?
- AEL vs Omonia Nicosia is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.