Match

Pafos vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos

PafosApollon Limassol

The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Apollon Limassol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pafos wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Pafos (2,037) and Apollon Limassol (1,987).

42%27%31%
Pafos winDrawApollon Limassol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pafos

4-3-3
  1. 18Lelê
  2. 8Domingos Quina
  3. 20Biel
  1. 88Pêpê Rodrigues
  2. 26I. Šunjić
  3. 30V. Dragomir
  1. 4David Luiz
  2. 14N. Ioannou
  3. 3S. Mmaee
  4. 7Bruno Felipe
  1. 99R. Majecki

Apollon Limassol

4-2-3-1
  1. 30Dani Escriche
  1. 27G. Weissbeck
  2. 23Brandon Thomas
  3. 12Gustavo Assunção
  4. 10Garry Rodrigues
  5. 77I. Ljubic
  1. 44J. Kvída
  2. 37L. Konomis
  3. 14G. Malekkides
  4. 76Bruno Gaspar
  1. 22P. Kühn

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pafos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Atalanta(away)1-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026Anorthosis(away)3-11. Division
Sep 18, 2026AEL(home)0-21. Division
Sep 13, 2026AEK Larnaca(away)1-01. Division
Sep 7, 2026Olympiakos(home)0-01. Division
Apollon Limassol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Nea Salamis(home)4-21. Division
Oct 10, 2026Krasava Ypsonas(away)3-11. Division
Oct 3, 2026AEK Larnaca(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Apoel Nicosia(home)2-21. Division
Sep 12, 2026Omonia Nicosia(away)0-01. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pafos wins, 1 draw, 3 Apollon Limassol wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Apollon Limassol 0-2 PafosCup
May 3, 2026Apollon Limassol 2-1 Pafos1. Division
Mar 22, 2026Pafos 1-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Jan 4, 2026Apollon Limassol 2-1 Pafos1. Division
Sep 13, 2025Pafos 0-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
May 7, 2025Apollon Limassol 0-2 PafosCup

Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Pafos on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pafos score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pafos1.41.356/156/15
Apollon Limassol1.91.658/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pafos sit 5th in 1. Division (10 points from 5 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Apollon Limassol633014812
5Pafos53117310

A question about Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Apollon Limassol.
Where and when is Pafos vs Apollon Limassol played?
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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