Pafos vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Apollon Limassol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Pafos (2,021) and Apollon Limassol (1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pafos win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Apollon Limassol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 0-2 Pafos | Cup |
| May 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Pafos 1-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Pafos 0-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| May 7, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 0-2 Pafos | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Pafos on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 4th in 1. Division (62 points from 36 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
- The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Apollon Limassol.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Apollon Limassol played?
- Pafos vs Apollon Limassol is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.