AEK Larnaca vs Krasava Ypsonas: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Krasava Ypsonas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Krasava Ypsonas?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Krasava Ypsonas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Enosis(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 2-5 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 AEK Larnaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Krasava Ypsonas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 2-1 Krasava Ypsonas | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Krasava Ypsonas 0-4 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Krasava Ypsonas on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Krasava Ypsonas score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Krasava Ypsonas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 2nd in 1. Division (69 points from 36 matches) and Krasava Ypsonas sit 10th (40 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 10 | Krasava Ypsonas | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Krasava Ypsonas?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Krasava Ypsonas.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Krasava Ypsonas played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Krasava Ypsonas is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.