Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Omonia Aradippou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou?
Apoel Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Omonia Aradippou have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Apoel Nicosia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Omonia Aradippou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 1-1 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 0-4 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 7-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Omonia Aradippou 0-5 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Aradippou score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apoel Nicosia sit 5th in 1. Division (52 points from 36 matches) and Omonia Aradippou sit 9th (42 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou?
- The Footlab model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Omonia Aradippou.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.