Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Panayot Volov, Shumen
The Footlab model makes Xanthi FC the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Aetos Orfani. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC?
Xanthi FC starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aetos Orfani have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Xanthi FC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 7-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Aetos Orfani win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Xanthi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aetos Orfani 0-7 Xanthi FC | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Xanthi FC 3-1 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Aetos Orfani 0-3 Xanthi FC | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Xanthi FC score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Xanthi FC | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aetos Orfani sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (33 points from 22 matches) and Xanthi FC sit 2nd (44 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Xanthi FC | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48 | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Xanthi FC the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Aetos Orfani.
- Where and when is Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC played?
- Aetos Orfani vs Xanthi FC is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Panayot Volov, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.