Doxa Dramas vs Apollon Paralimniou: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Doxas Dramas, Drama
The Footlab model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Apollon Paralimniou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doxa Dramas vs Apollon Paralimniou?
Doxa Dramas starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,631 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doxa Dramas have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Apollon Paralimniou have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Evosmou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Doxa Dramas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Apollon Paralimniou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Doxa Dramas 0-1 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Apollon Paralimniou 2-1 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Doxa Dramas 3-1 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Apollon Paralimniou 3-0 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Doxa Dramas 0-0 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Apollon Paralimniou 2-0 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Doxa Dramas vs Apollon Paralimniou on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Doxa Dramas score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Paralimniou score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doxa Dramas | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Apollon Paralimniou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Doxa Dramas | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doxa Dramas vs Apollon Paralimniou?
- The Footlab model makes Doxa Dramas the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Apollon Paralimniou.
- Where and when is Doxa Dramas vs Apollon Paralimniou played?
- Doxa Dramas vs Apollon Paralimniou is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Doxas Dramas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.