MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes MAS Ardas Kastanion the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Pontion Nea Amisos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, MAS Ardas Kastanion have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Pontion Nea Amisos have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Orestis Orestiadas(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Aris Piges(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | PAO Kristoni(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pontion Nea Amisos | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29 | 76 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos?
- The Footlab model makes MAS Ardas Kastanion the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Pontion Nea Amisos.
- Where and when is MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos played?
- MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.