Thrakis vs Kavala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Thrakis the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Kavala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thrakis vs Kavala?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Thrakis have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Kavala have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(away) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thrakis vs Kavala?
- The Footlab model makes Thrakis the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Kavala.
- Where and when is Thrakis vs Kavala played?
- Thrakis vs Kavala is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.