AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, La Marsa
The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 50%, against 32% for a draw and 17% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Marsa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; CS Sfaxien have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San-Pédro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AS Marsa win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 CS Sfaxien win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | AS Marsa 0-3 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | CS Sfaxien 2-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2024 | CS Sfaxien 0-1 AS Marsa | Cup |
| Nov 5, 2023 | CS Sfaxien 3-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | AS Marsa 0-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | AS Marsa 0-2 CS Sfaxien | Cup |
Last archived meeting: AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Marsa score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CS Sfaxien score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Marsa | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| CS Sfaxien | 1.5 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Marsa sit 13th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and CS Sfaxien sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?
- The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 50%, against 32% for a draw and 17% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien played?
- AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.