AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, La Marsa
The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 39%, against 36% for a draw and 25% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 0-0. If CS Sfaxien wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Marsa
4-2-3-1- 10M. Hamrouni
- 6K. Khalfa
- 28A. Ben Hamida
- 8A. Guesmi
- 15R. Gneba
- 27M. Khaloui
- 2M. Chaouch
- 5O. Bahri
- 17O. Jebali
- 34M. Kechiche
- 16C. H. Ben
CS Sfaxien
4-2-1-3- 11I. Belwafi
- 18E. Ogbole
- 9J. Loulendo
- 14J. Mbé
- 19L. Trayi
- 33M. Trabelsi
- 10A. Maâloul
- 24H. Mathlouthi
- 13R. Derbali
- 15K. Mundeko
- 30A. Dahmen
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Marsa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CS Sfaxien have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shooting Stars(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Shooting Stars(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AS Marsa win, 0 draws, 5 CS Sfaxien wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | AS Marsa 0-3 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | CS Sfaxien 2-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2024 | CS Sfaxien 0-1 AS Marsa | Cup |
| Nov 5, 2023 | CS Sfaxien 3-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | AS Marsa 0-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | AS Marsa 0-2 CS Sfaxien | Cup |
Last archived meeting: AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Marsa score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CS Sfaxien score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Marsa | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| CS Sfaxien | 1.3 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Marsa sit 11th in Ligue 1 (5 points from 5 matches) and CS Sfaxien sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?
- The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 39%, against 36% for a draw and 25% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien played?
- AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.