AFC Fylde vs Ilkeston Town: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 20, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
Full time
What was the result of AFC Fylde vs Ilkeston Town?
AFC Fylde and Ilkeston Town drew 1-1 on October 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 6′Adam FarrellAFC Fylde
- 70′Dereece GardnerIlkeston Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 6, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Solihull Moors(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Marine(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Bishop Auckland(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Ramsbottom United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Northwich Victoria(away) | 2-4 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Gresley(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Stourbridge(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 25, 2012 | Belper Town(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Belper Town(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Coalville Town(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 10; Ilkeston Town score 2.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/10 | 7/10 |
| Ilkeston Town | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy