Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston Town?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Curzon Ashton (1,710) and Ilkeston Town (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Curzon Ashton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ilkeston Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ilkeston Town | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 14th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Ilkeston Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston Town?
- The Footlab model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston Town played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston Town is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.