AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 35Kick-off on February 24, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Worthing. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,076 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing?
On Elo ratings, AFC Hornchurch has 2,026 points and Worthing 2,080.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Hornchurch
3-4-3- 10Á. Balanta
- 30R. Loft
- 7J. Walker
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 18M. Weston
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Worthing
4-3-3- 7R. Coleman De-Graft
- 24C. Kendall
- 27J. Young
- 15R. Aguiar
- 28C. Waller
- 4J. Wadham
- 2J. Colbran
- 5J. Cook
- 6Jayden Moore
- 3C. Adjetey-Brew
- 13T. Seymour
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Worthing have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Southend(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 2-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AFC Hornchurch wins, 2 draws, 2 Worthing wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Worthing 1-0 AFC Hornchurch | National League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Worthing | National League - South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Worthing 5-0 AFC Hornchurch | National League - South |
| Mar 25, 2025 | AFC Hornchurch 1-0 Worthing | National League - South |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Worthing 0-0 AFC Hornchurch | National League - South |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Worthing 1-1 AFC Hornchurch | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 15th in National League (21 points from 16 matches) and Worthing sit 6th (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 25 | 28 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 21 |
A question about AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Worthing.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing is played on February 24, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.