AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar: result 2-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
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What was the result of AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?
AFC Leopards won 2-1 on May 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′653264AFC Leopards
- 30′621779Mara Sugar
- 62′621756AFC Leopards
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Mara Sugar have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | KCB(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 AFC Leopards win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mara Sugar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Mara Sugar 2-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | AFC Leopards 1-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Leopards sit 2nd in FKF Premier League (64 points from 34 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 11th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AFC Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 28 | 64 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy