AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar: result 2-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
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What was the result of AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?
AFC Leopards won 2-1 on May 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′653264AFC Leopards
- 30′621779Mara Sugar
- 62′621756AFC Leopards
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Mara Sugar have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | KCB(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 AFC Leopards win, 1 draw, 1 Mara Sugar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Mara Sugar 2-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | AFC Leopards 1-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Leopards sit 12th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Mara Sugar sit 6th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy