AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate AFC Telford United (1,826) and Bedford Town (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bedford Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AFC Telford United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bedford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | AFC Telford United 2-2 Bedford Town | National League - North |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Bedford Town 3-1 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | AFC Telford United 6-2 Bedford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Bedford Town 2-3 AFC Telford United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bedford Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Bedford Town sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bedford Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town played?
- AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.