Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Buxton played?

AFC Telford United vs Buxton is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Telford United vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire

AFC Telford United

Buxton

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Telford United vs Buxton?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate AFC Telford United (1,825) and Buxton (1,888).

AFC Telford United win32 %

Draw25 %

Buxton win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Telford United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hednesford Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Merthyr Town(away)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Worksop Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Brackley Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Tamworth(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AFC Telford United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Buxton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 20, 2025	Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Aug 23, 2025	AFC Telford United 0-1 Buxton	National League - North
Jan 14, 2023	Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Aug 29, 2022	AFC Telford United 1-1 Buxton	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Buxton vs AFC Telford United on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Telford United	1.2	1.7	2	10/15	10/15
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
22	AFC Telford United	4	0	2	2	5	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Buxton?: The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for AFC Telford United.
Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Buxton played?: AFC Telford United vs Buxton is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.