AFC Telford United vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate AFC Telford United (1,863) and Buxton (1,939).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Telford United vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Telford United
Not enough data to predict the AFC Telford United lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 06:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Buxton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-5 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 2-5 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AFC Telford United wins, 1 draw, 1 Buxton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 23, 2025 | AFC Telford United 0-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 29, 2022 | AFC Telford United 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs AFC Telford United on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Telford United sit 21st in National League - North (12 points from 12 matches) and Buxton sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
A question about AFC Telford United vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for AFC Telford United.
- Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Buxton played?
- AFC Telford United vs Buxton is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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