Buxton vs Merthyr Town: result 2-1 and analysis
National League - NorthNational League North - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Buxton vs Merthyr Town?
Buxton won 2-1 on August 31, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′553283Buxton
- 45′J. FoulstonMerthyr Town
- 74′W. TruemanBuxton
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Buxton win at 58%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Merthyr Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 22, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Buxton wins, 0 draws, 1 Merthyr Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Merthyr Town 1-3 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Buxton 1-2 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Buxton 2-0 Merthyr Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs Buxton on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 18th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Buxton vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Macclesfield3-0Hebburn Town
- Aug 31, 2026Chester0-1Morecambe
- Aug 31, 2026Southport0-1Hereford
- Aug 31, 2026Chorley2-2Brackley Town
- Aug 31, 2026AFC Telford United0-1Bedford Town
- Aug 31, 2026Spennymoor Town1-1Hednesford Town
- Aug 31, 2026Worksop Town0-1Oxford City
- Aug 31, 2026Radcliffe0-1Darlington 1883