AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate AFC Wimbledon (1,811) and Notts County (1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1- 9J. Stockley
- 3S. Seddon
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 29A. Sasu
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 33I. Ogundere
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 39J. Bursik
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Notts County have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 AFC Wimbledon wins, 0 draws, 1 Notts County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| May 10, 2025 | Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 8, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Notts County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 4-2 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 12th in League One (12 points from 9 matches) and Notts County sit 22nd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.