Milton Keynes Dons vs Bradford: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bradford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Bradford?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Milton Keynes Dons (1,836) and Bradford (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bradford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Milton Keynes Dons win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bradford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bradford 2-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-2 Bradford | League Two |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bradford 4-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 4-1 Bradford | League Two |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Bradford 2-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-4 Bradford | League One |
Last archived meeting: Bradford vs Milton Keynes Dons on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bradford | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 14th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Bradford sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bradford?
- The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bradford.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Bradford played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Bradford is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.