Luton vs Blackpool: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Blackpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Blackpool?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Blackpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Blackpool
4-1-3-2- 14T. Bloxham
- 12J. Yates
- 11J. Bowler
- 8A. Morgan
- 17Karoy Anderson
- 10G. Honeyman
- 4O. Casey
- 28J. Williams
- 26Finley Munroe
- 3Z. Ashworth
- 1B. Peacock-Farrell
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Blackpool have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-4 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Luton wins, 2 draws, 0 Blackpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Luton 1-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Blackpool 2-2 Luton | League One |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Luton 3-1 Blackpool | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Blackpool 0-1 Luton | Championship |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Luton 1-1 Blackpool | Championship |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Blackpool 0-3 Luton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Blackpool score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Blackpool | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 14th in League One (11 points from 8 matches) and Blackpool sit 18th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Luton vs Blackpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Blackpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Blackpool.
- Where and when is Luton vs Blackpool played?
- Luton vs Blackpool is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.