Sheffield Wednesday vs Oxford United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Oxford United the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Oxford United?
Oxford United starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Oxford United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Oxford United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Oxford United 4-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Oxford United | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 Oxford United | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Oxford United 1-3 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Oxford United 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Oxford United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford United score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Oxford United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Oxford United sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Oxford United?
- The Footlab model makes Oxford United the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Oxford United played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Oxford United is played on May 8, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.