Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leicester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon?
On Elo ratings, Leicester has 1,882 points and AFC Wimbledon 1,811.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leicester
4-1-4-1- 17E. Riis
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 6J. Lundstram
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 27K. Doyle
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 5C. Okoli
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1- 9J. Stockley
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 3S. Seddon
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 33I. Ogundere
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 14th in League One (12 points from 9 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 15th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Leicester vs AFC Wimbledon is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.