Match

Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo: prediction and stats

Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Valdemar Viana de Araújo, Afogados da Ingazeira, Pernambuco

AfogadosFerroviario do Cabo

The Footlab AI model makes Afogados the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ferroviario do Cabo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Afogados wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo?

42%29%29%
Afogados winDrawFerroviario do Cabo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Afogados

4-2-3-1
  1. RRodrigo
  1. RRaí
  2. CClébson
  3. DDedê
  4. PPedro Henrique
  5. CCarlos Eduardo
  1. WWeslley
  2. 13Kayk
  3. DDenner
  4. VVinícius Alves
  1. DDanilo

Ferroviario do Cabo

Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario do Cabo lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afogados have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ferroviario do Cabo have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Afogados
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Petrolina(away)0-1Pernambucano - 1
Feb 22, 2025Jaguaré(away)0-1Pernambucano - 1
Feb 15, 2025Maguary PE(home)1-1Pernambucano - 1
Feb 9, 2025Nautico Recife(away)0-4Pernambucano - 1
Feb 5, 2025Decisão(away)1-1Pernambucano - 1

A question about Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo?
The Footlab AI model makes Afogados the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ferroviario do Cabo.
Where and when is Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo played?
Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Valdemar Viana de Araújo, in the Pernambucano - 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Afogados and Ferroviario do Cabo

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