Agigea vs Agricola Borcea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Agigea, Agigea
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Agigea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agigea vs Agricola Borcea?
Agricola Borcea starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,300).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agigea have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Agricola Borcea have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Agigea win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Agricola Borcea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Agigea 1-4 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 4-0 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Agigea vs Agricola Borcea on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agigea vs Agricola Borcea?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Agigea vs Agricola Borcea played?
- Agigea vs Agricola Borcea is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Agigea, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.