Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Agigea. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,456 vs 1,300).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Agigea have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Progresul Fundulea win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Agigea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea 0-2 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Agigea 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.