Calasancio vs Cenicero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Estrella, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes Calasancio the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cenicero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calasancio wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calasancio vs Cenicero?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Calasancio (1,529) and Cenicero (1,514).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calasancio vs Cenicero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calasancio
4-3-3- EEduardo García Ballesteros
- DDiego Saez Salinas
- MMarcos Medrano Bodega
- DDavid Lozano
- DDavid Sacristan Moreno
- FFidel GarcÃa
- IIbrahima Korca Ba
- SS. Londoño
- ÁÁlvaro Huerta
- RRaúl Fernández Tamayo
- IIván López Villar
Cenicero
4-3-3- MMiguel Viciana Pozo
- PPedro Henrique Rodrigues dos Santos
- AAbdou Camara
- AAlvaro Armenteros Delfin
- AAlvaro Juarez
- AAdrián González Ramírez
- JJorge Ojeda del Rey
- DDaniel Narro Angulo
- JJorge Lazaro
- DDiego Jimenez Nestares
- RRaul Garcia Saez
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calasancio have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cenicero have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varea(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vianés(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calahorra(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Anguiano(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pradejón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | River Ebro(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Berceo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Calasancio score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cenicero score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calasancio | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cenicero | 0.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calasancio sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (5 points from 6 matches) and Cenicero sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cenicero | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
A question about Calasancio vs Cenicero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calasancio vs Cenicero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calasancio the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cenicero.
- Where and when is Calasancio vs Cenicero played?
- Calasancio vs Cenicero is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Estrella, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.