Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Borcea
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sporting Lieşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Agricola Borcea (1,520) and Sporting Lieşti (1,596).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agricola Borcea have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting Lieşti have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Lieşti score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sporting Lieşti.
- Where and when is Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti played?
- Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.