Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Gloria Băneasa. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,456 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Gloria Băneasa have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progresul Fundulea win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gloria Băneasa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea 4-1 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Gloria Băneasa 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-0 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Gloria Băneasa 1-0 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Progresul Fundulea 0-1 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 3, 2024 | Progresul Fundulea 0-1 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Băneasa score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Gloria Băneasa | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Gloria Băneasa.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.