Águila vs Inter: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 13Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
The Footlab model makes Águila the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Inter. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águila vs Inter?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Águila (1,689) and Inter (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Inter have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Águila(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Águila win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Inter win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter 0-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águila 0-1 Inter | Primera Division |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Inter 0-1 Águila | Primera Division |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Águila 3-0 Inter | Primera Division |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Inter 2-0 Águila | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Inter | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 11th in Primera Division (3 points from 6 matches) and Inter sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Águila | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águila vs Inter?
- The Footlab model makes Águila the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Inter.
- Where and when is Águila vs Inter played?
- Águila vs Inter is played on September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.