Inca Aruba vs Inter: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 17Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Inca Aruba. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inca Aruba vs Inter?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,479).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inca Aruba vs Inter
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inca Aruba
Not enough data to predict the Inca Aruba lineup.
Inter
Not enough data to predict the Inter lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inca Aruba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Inter have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Oct 5, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Águila(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Inca Aruba wins, 0 draws, 1 Inter win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter 4-1 Inca Aruba | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Inca Aruba score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inca Aruba | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Inter | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inca Aruba sit 9th in Primera Division (16 points from 15 matches) and Inter sit 4th (22 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
A question about Inca Aruba vs Inter?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inca Aruba vs Inter?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Inca Aruba.
- Where and when is Inca Aruba vs Inter played?
- Inca Aruba vs Inter is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.