Águila vs Platense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 22Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
The Footlab model makes Águila the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águila vs Platense?
Águila starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Platense have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Águila win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Platense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Platense 2-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Águila 4-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Platense 2-1 Águila | Primera Division |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Águila 1-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Platense 0-1 Águila | Primera Division |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Águila 3-1 Platense | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Platense score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Platense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 11th in Primera Division (3 points from 6 matches) and Platense sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Águila | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águila vs Platense?
- The Footlab model makes Águila the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Platense.
- Where and when is Águila vs Platense played?
- Águila vs Platense is played on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.