Águila vs Platense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 22Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
The Footlab AI model makes Águila the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águila wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águila vs Platense?
Águila starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,501).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águila vs Platense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águila
Not enough data to predict the Águila lineup.
Platense
Not enough data to predict the Platense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Platense have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inca Aruba(away) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águila(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Águila wins, 0 draws, 2 Platense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Platense 0-1 Águila | Primera Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Platense 2-0 Águila | Primera Division |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Águila 4-1 Platense | Primera Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Platense 2-1 Águila | Primera Division |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Águila 1-0 Platense | Primera Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Platense 0-1 Águila | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Platense score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Platense | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 5th in Primera Division (20 points from 14 matches) and Platense sit 6th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
A question about Águila vs Platense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águila vs Platense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águila the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Platense.
- Where and when is Águila vs Platense played?
- Águila vs Platense is played on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.