Where and when is Águilas II vs Bala Azul played?

Águilas II vs Bala Azul is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas II vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas

Águilas II

Bala Azul

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas II vs Bala Azul?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Águilas II (1,820) and Bala Azul (1,733).

Águilas II win48 %

Draw26 %

Bala Azul win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	El Palmar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Águilas II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bala Azul win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Bala Azul 0-0 Águilas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 26, 2025	Águilas II 2-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2025	Águilas II 2-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 12, 2025	Bala Azul 0-2 Águilas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Águilas II on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas II	1.6	0.9	7	7/15	8/15
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (52 points from 34 matches) and Bala Azul sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Águilas II	34	14	10	10	47	42	52
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs Bala Azul?: The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Águilas II vs Bala Azul played?: Águilas II vs Bala Azul is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.