Match

Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco

Balsicas AtléticoLos Garres

The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres?

Balsicas Atlético starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,580).

Balsicas Atlético win46 %
Draw28 %
Los Garres win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balsicas Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Yeclano II(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026SFC Minerva(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Águilas II(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Los Garres
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025Elche(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025Manises(home)2-0Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025Manises(away)0-2Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022Lorca Deportiva(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022UD Caravaca(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balsicas Atlético0.91.046/155/15
Los Garres0.52.315/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Balsicas Atlético3491015384636

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres?
The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres played?
Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Balsicas Atlético and Los Garres

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