Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres?
Balsicas Atlético starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs Los Garres is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsBullas Deportivo
- Sep 20, 2026Mazarrón FCvsSanta Cruz
- Sep 20, 2026Olímpico TotanavsUnión Molinense
- Sep 20, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsUCAM Murcia II
- Sep 20, 2026AlcantarillavsEl Palmar
- Sep 20, 2026SantomeravsAlgar
- Sep 20, 2026Águilas IIvsBala Azul
- Sep 20, 2026San JaviervsSFC Minerva