Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz played?

Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón

Mazarrón FC

Santa Cruz

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Mazarrón FC (1,799) and Santa Cruz (1,763).

Mazarrón FC win45 %

Draw29 %

Santa Cruz win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazarrón FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Águilas II(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Santa Cruz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Yeclano II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	SFC Minerva(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mazarrón FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Santa Cruz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Santa Cruz 1-1 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 9, 2025	Mazarrón FC 1-0 Santa Cruz	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Mazarrón FC on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazarrón FC	1.5	1.1	5	9/15	5/15
Santa Cruz	1.0	1.1	6	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazarrón FC sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Mazarrón FC	34	14	14	6	50	33	55
8	Santa Cruz	34	15	6	13	37	34	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz?: The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Santa Cruz.
Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz played?: Mazarrón FC vs Santa Cruz is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.