Olímpico Totana vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Cayuela, Totana
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Unión Molinense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olímpico Totana vs Unión Molinense?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Olímpico Totana (1,790) and Unión Molinense (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olímpico Totana have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Unión Molinense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Olímpico Totana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Unión Molinense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense 0-2 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Olímpico Totana 0-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Olímpico Totana 1-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Unión Molinense 1-2 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Olímpico Totana on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olímpico Totana sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (58 points from 34 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (59 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 59 |
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olímpico Totana vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Unión Molinense.
- Where and when is Olímpico Totana vs Unión Molinense played?
- Olímpico Totana vs Unión Molinense is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Cayuela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.