Ibiza vs Gimnastic: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, Ibiza
The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ibiza vs Gimnastic?
On Elo ratings, Ibiza has 1,933 points and Gimnastic 1,849.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ibiza vs Gimnastic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ibiza
4-3-3- 9Manu Justo
- 10Ander Yoldi
- 21José Carlos Lazo
- 17T. Valls
- 6Josep Calavera
- 20Pedro Ortiz
- 18David Astals
- 3Víctor García
- 4J. Blasco
- 2Pablo Busto
- 1Andrés Prieto
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 17Alex Almansa
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 16M. Babanzila
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 21I. Athuman
- 15José Amo
- 13Vicent Abril
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ibiza have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gimnastic have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ibiza wins, 0 draws, 2 Gimnastic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Gimnastic 1-0 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ibiza 0-2 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2021 | Ibiza 4-0 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Gimnastic 0-1 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ibiza score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnastic score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibiza | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnastic | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ibiza sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (10 points from 7 matches) and Gimnastic sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Ibiza vs Gimnastic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ibiza vs Gimnastic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Ibiza vs Gimnastic played?
- Ibiza vs Gimnastic is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.