Ahrweiler vs Pirmasens: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pirmasens the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ahrweiler vs Pirmasens?
Pirmasens is a heavy favourite: 1,939 Elo points against 1,504 — a 435-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Pirmasens have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Diefflen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mechtersheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 7; Pirmasens score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Pirmasens | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 4 matches) and Pirmasens sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pirmasens | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs Pirmasens?
- The Footlab model makes Pirmasens the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Ahrweiler vs Pirmasens played?
- Ahrweiler vs Pirmasens is played on October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 2, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsDiefflen
- Oct 3, 2026TuS KoblenzvsEisbachtal
- Oct 3, 2026Wormatia WormsvsMechtersheim
- Oct 3, 2026AuersmachervsCosmos Koblenz
- Oct 3, 2026RW WittlichvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Oct 4, 2026GonsenheimvsFV Engers 07
- Oct 4, 2026Elversberg IIvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Oct 4, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsSchott Mainz