AIK Stockholm vs Degerfors IF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Strawberry Arena, Solna
The Footlab model makes AIK Stockholm the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs Degerfors IF?
AIK Stockholm starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AIK Stockholm have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Degerfors IF have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AIK Stockholm win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Degerfors IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Degerfors IF 2-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AIK Stockholm 3-3 Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Degerfors IF 0-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 13, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 3-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 14, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 1-1 Degerfors IF | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 18, 2023 | AIK Stockholm 2-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AIK Stockholm sit 6th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 17 matches) and Degerfors IF sit 14th (16 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AIK Stockholm vs Degerfors IF?
- The Footlab model makes AIK Stockholm the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Degerfors IF.
- Where and when is AIK Stockholm vs Degerfors IF played?
- AIK Stockholm vs Degerfors IF is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Strawberry Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.