Orgryte IS vs Kalmar FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Kalmar FF the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Orgryte IS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Kalmar FF?
Kalmar FF starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orgryte IS have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kalmar FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 7-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 2-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Orgryte IS win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kalmar FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Kalmar FF 3-0 Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kalmar FF 2-2 Orgryte IS | Svenska Cupen |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Orgryte IS 0-2 Kalmar FF | Superettan |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Kalmar FF 2-3 Orgryte IS | Superettan |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Kalmar FF 3-0 Orgryte IS | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kalmar FF score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kalmar FF | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orgryte IS sit 15th in Allsvenskan (14 points from 18 matches) and Kalmar FF sit 13th (19 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orgryte IS vs Kalmar FF?
- The Footlab model makes Kalmar FF the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Orgryte IS.
- Where and when is Orgryte IS vs Kalmar FF played?
- Orgryte IS vs Kalmar FF is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.