Hammarby FF vs IFK Goteborg: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for IFK Goteborg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs IFK Goteborg?
Hammarby FF starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby FF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; IFK Goteborg have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 3-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hammarby FF win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 IFK Goteborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | IFK Goteborg 0-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 5, 2025 | IFK Goteborg 1-2 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Hammarby FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IFK Goteborg 4-0 Hammarby FF | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 1, 2024 | IFK Goteborg 0-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Hammarby FF 0-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Goteborg vs Hammarby FF on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Goteborg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| IFK Goteborg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby FF sit 2nd in Allsvenskan (36 points from 18 matches) and IFK Goteborg sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 36 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs IFK Goteborg?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for IFK Goteborg.
- Where and when is Hammarby FF vs IFK Goteborg played?
- Hammarby FF vs IFK Goteborg is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tele2 Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.