AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 18Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Strawberry Arena, Solna
The Footlab model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AIK Stockholm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate AIK Stockholm (1,839) and Mjallby AIF (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AIK Stockholm have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mjallby AIF have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AIK Stockholm win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mjallby AIF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mjallby AIF 1-2 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Mjallby AIF 2-0 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| May 11, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 2-1 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 1-0 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Mjallby AIF 1-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Mjallby AIF 1-3 AIK Stockholm | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mjallby AIF score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mjallby AIF | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AIK Stockholm sit 5th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 17 matches) and Mjallby AIF sit 11th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 11 | Mjallby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF?
- The Footlab model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AIK Stockholm.
- Where and when is AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF played?
- AIK Stockholm vs Mjallby AIF is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Strawberry Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.