Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Eleda Stadion, Malmö
The Footlab model makes Djurgardens IF the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Malmo FF (1,867) and Djurgardens IF (1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malmo FF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Djurgardens IF have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 6-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Malmo FF win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Djurgardens IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Djurgardens IF 0-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Malmo FF 0-1 Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Djurgardens IF 0-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Malmo FF 4-0 Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| May 1, 2024 | Malmo FF 1-1 Djurgardens IF | Svenska Cupen |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Djurgardens IF 0-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Djurgardens IF score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Djurgardens IF | 2.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malmo FF sit 7th in Allsvenskan (26 points from 17 matches) and Djurgardens IF sit 6th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Djurgardens IF | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 19 | 26 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
Who is out?
7 reported absence(s) for this match.
- M. LarssonDjurgardens IFOut(Yellow Cards)
- E. EkongMalmo FFOut(Knee Injury)
- J. Stryger LarsenMalmo FFOut(Yellow Cards)
- N. Åstrand JohnMalmo FFOut(Muscle Injury)
- O. SjöstrandMalmo FFOut(Knee Injury)
- P. JanssonMalmo FFOut(Knee Injury)
- W. KamanziMalmo FFOut(Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF?
- The Footlab model makes Djurgardens IF the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF played?
- Malmo FF vs Djurgardens IF is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Eleda Stadion, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.