Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Örjans Vall, Halmstad
The Footlab model makes AIK Stockholm the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Halmstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm?
AIK Stockholm starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Halmstad have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; AIK Stockholm have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gais(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Halmstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 AIK Stockholm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | AIK Stockholm 2-1 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 9, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 0-2 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Halmstad 2-0 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 5-1 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Halmstad 1-2 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 29, 2023 | AIK Stockholm 1-1 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: AIK Stockholm vs Halmstad on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Halmstad score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halmstad sit 16th in Allsvenskan (8 points from 18 matches) and AIK Stockholm sit 5th (28 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm?
- The Footlab model makes AIK Stockholm the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Halmstad.
- Where and when is Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm played?
- Halmstad vs AIK Stockholm is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Örjans Vall, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.