Airbus UK vs The New Saints: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Hollingsworth Group Stadium, Broughton, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes The New Saints the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Airbus UK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Airbus UK vs The New Saints?
The New Saints starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,082 vs 1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airbus UK have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; The New Saints have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Airbus UK win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 The New Saints win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | The New Saints 7-1 Airbus UK | League Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | The New Saints 5-0 Airbus UK | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Airbus UK 0-1 The New Saints | League Cup |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Airbus UK 0-8 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | The New Saints 7-0 Airbus UK | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Airbus UK 0-12 The New Saints | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Airbus UK on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Airbus UK score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airbus UK | 2.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| The New Saints | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Airbus UK sit 11th in Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and The New Saints sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Airbus UK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Airbus UK vs The New Saints?
- The Footlab model makes The New Saints the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Airbus UK.
- Where and when is Airbus UK vs The New Saints played?
- Airbus UK vs The New Saints is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Hollingsworth Group Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.