Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)New Bridge Meadow Stadium, Hwlffordd / Haverfordwest, Pembrokeshie
The Footlab model makes Briton Ferry the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Haverfordwest County AFC (1,773) and Briton Ferry (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haverfordwest County AFC have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Briton Ferry have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Briton Ferry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Briton Ferry 0-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-3 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 5-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Briton Ferry 1-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Briton Ferry sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab model makes Briton Ferry the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry played?
- Haverfordwest County AFC vs Briton Ferry is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at New Bridge Meadow Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.