Airdrie United vs Ross County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Airdrie United. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Ross County?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Airdrie United vs Ross County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Airdrie United
4-1-2-1-2- 25J. Gentles
- 10M. Yates
- 4C. Ross
- 27L. Gibson
- 16C. Smith
- 8G. Gallagher
- 2D. MacDonald
- 31D. Gallagher
- 5S. Fisher
- 24R. Tumilty
- 1J. Sneddon
Ross County
4-2-3-1- 9Brian Graham
- 6C. Randall
- 23R. Docherty
- 16C. Hamilton
- 19L. McCarvel
- 7R. Chin
- 4A. Wright
- 3L. Strapp
- 15D. Smith
- 5L. Reid
- 1B. Foster-Theniger
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airdrie United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ross County have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 7-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 7-1 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 14-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Airdrie United wins, 1 draw, 3 Ross County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-3 Ross County | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Airdrie United 0-3 Ross County | League Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ross County 0-4 Airdrie United | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Airdrie United 0-1 Ross County | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ross County 1-2 Airdrie United | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Airdrie United 2-2 Ross County | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Ross County on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Airdrie United score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ross County score 4.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ross County | 4.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Airdrie United sit 5th in League One (13 points from 11 matches) and Ross County sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
A question about Airdrie United vs Ross County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Airdrie United vs Ross County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Airdrie United.
- Where and when is Airdrie United vs Ross County played?
- Airdrie United vs Ross County is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Albert Bartlett Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.