Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?
Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hamilton Academical
4-3-3- 27S. McKinstry
- 29A. Ryan
- 7D. Thomas
- 6C. Blues
- 17S. Bannigan
- 8K. MacDonald
- 33S. Hendrie
- 3T. Gallacher
- 2A. Comrie
- 16K. Smutek
- 1D. Lyness
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 12S. Scougall
- 2S. Taggart
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 1R. Stewart
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Alloa Athletic have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hamilton Academical wins, 0 draws, 2 Alloa Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 0-3 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 3-0 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 1-0 Hamilton Academical | League One |
Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | 2.1 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Alloa Athletic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamilton Academical sit 2nd in League One (25 points from 9 matches) and Alloa Athletic sit 8th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic played?
- Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.